Predicted 2024 Ballon d'Or Winners (Collated)
The Ballon d'Or Award is an annual award for the best international football player, awarded by a panel of selected journalists from the top football playing countries. In the lead up to the Ballon d'Or in 2024 there is a lot of speculation about who will win. We have scoured the web and found these predictions for the men's and women's award.
Men's Ballon d'Or for 2024
The 2024 award was decided over the 2023/24 season as well as the 2024 international tournaments (including Euro 2024). In 2023, Lionel Messi won a record eighth Ballon d'Or award. That was the end of an era, his last Ballon d'Or. Ronaldo, another player who has jointly dominated the Ballon d'Or in the last 15 years, is also probably no longer a contender. Both Messi and Ronaldo were left off the list of nominees for 2024, the first time this had happened since 2003.
How do the top football websites rank the contenders for the men's Ballon d'Or in 2024? We have collated the opinions of a few of the top football websites to compare.
There is no clear favorite. The 2023 Kopa Trophy (for the best U/21 player) winner Jude Bellingham was an early favorite, though as the year progressed, Rodri's performances, culminating in the Euro 2024 Player of the Tournament final, has him as one of the favorites.
| Predictor | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportingnews.com (Oct 23) | Bellingham | Mbappe | Haaland | ||
| Football Manager 2024 (Nov 23) | Mbappe | Lewandowski | Bellingham | ||
| BBC Vote (Oct 23) | Bellingham | Haaland | Mbappe | Kane | Vinicius Jr |
| goal.com (Sept 24) | Vinicius Jr | Rodri | Bellingham | Carvajal | Martinez |
| goal.com (July 24) | Rodri | Vinicius Jr | Bellingham | Carvajal | Martinez |
| goal.com (Oct 23) | Bellingham | Mbappe | Haaland | Kane | Mo Salah |
| 90min.com (Jul 24) | Vinicius Jr | Bellingham | Mbappe | Kane | Rodri |
| Givemesport.com (Jul 24) | Vinicius Jr | Rodri | Bellingham | Yamal | Mbappe |
| Givemesport.com (Sep 24) | Rodri | Vinicius Jr | Bellingham | Yamal | Mbappe |
| Gambling.com (Sep 2024) | Vinicius Jr | Rodri | Bellingham | Carvajal | Yamal |
| Independent Betting (Nov 23) | Bellingham | Mbappe | Haaland | Kane | Messi |
| 3 Added Minutes (Oct 23) | Haaland | Bellingham | Mbappe | Kane | Rodri |
Women's Ballon d'Or
Predictions for the women's Ballon d'Or 2024 award are much harder to find, though much more in consensus. The 2024 winner was of course Aitana Bonmati.
| Predictor | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| goal.com (May 2024) | Aitana Bonmati | Caroline Graham Hansen | Kadidiatou Diani | Salma Paralluelo | Mariona Caldentey |
| goal.com (Sep 2024) | Aitana Bonmati | Caroline Graham Hansen | Salma Paralluelo | Mariona Caldentey | Sophia Smith |
| sportsbrief.com (Jun 2024) | Aitana Bonmati | Caroline Graham Hansen | Salma Paralluelo | Mariona Caldentey | Kadidiatou Diani |
Sources:
- sportingnews.com: only three players were listed (from Oct 2023)
- Football Manager 2024: in November 2023 they predicted the next ten Ballon d'Or winners. In 2024, the predicted winner was Kylian Mbappe (they also predicted that he would win in 2025, 2026 and 2027.
- BBC Voting: On an online vote, 47% of people thought Jude Bellingham would win in 2024, 31% of them thought it would be Erling Haaland (from Oct 2023)
- goal.com: based on the power ranking taken at different times in the year
- 90min.com: "The favourites to win the Ballon d'Or 2024 - ranked"
- Givemesport.com: They have ranked the players based on these factors: Goals scored, Assists, Clean sheets (if defensive-minded), Trophies won/challenging for, Big moments in 2023-24 and in major international tournaments and General form.
- Independent Betting: based on betting odds listed on https://www.independent.co.uk/
- 3 Added Minutes: (article published 31 Oct 2023)
- Gambling.com
- fourfourtwo.com: predictions were found on this website in previous years
- football365.com: predictions were found on this website in previous years
Related Pages
- All predictions for the Ballon d'Or
- Ballon d'Or Home
- Men's all-time Ballon d'Or Winner's List
- Football Awards Lists
Any comments, suggestions, or corrections? Please let us know.
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